Real Answers from Real Pilots

Pilot shortage in 3 years

I’m just wondering whether pilot shortage is still really big and true or not? Is everything going to stabilize and people who starts now their pilot training will have more issues or it will be harder/ more demanding to find a job in an airline in 3-4 years than now?

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Soonsa,

No one can say for sure, but take a look at this data that I pulled from
airlinepilotcentral. This is the projected number of pilots that will reach
the retirement age at Delta. If you take a look at other airline profiles
on APC, you’ll see similar trends. So, I think it’s safe to say that the
shortage will continue for at least a couple of decades from now.

Projected Retirement Numbers (Feb 2016):

2016: 189
2017: 267
2018: 377
2019: 471
2020: 566
2021: 772
2022: 830
2023: 790
2024: 791
2025: 711
2026: 608
2027: 513
2028: 507
2029: 511
2030: 541
2031: 476
2032: 424
2033: 356
2034: 302
2035: 260
2036: 256
2037: 227
2038: 203
2039: 159
2040: 178
Tory

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Soonsa,

I really do not see the pilot shortage ending anytime soon. I think that now is a fantastic time to get involved in the industry. Of course, this is strictly my opinion.

Chris

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Soonsa,

Yes the pilot shortage is real, it’s big and it’s true. It’s projected to continue for quite a few years BUT things often can and do change. There are no guarantees. That said when I started there was no shortage and it was more difficult to get hired BUT those with the desire and drive did, those who didn’t are the ones who wish they did.

Adam

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